Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 6.953960 8.137529 9.436131 10.963249 12.706325 14.630156 16.910435
2026-02-08 4.720292 6.240292 8.089890 10.489838 13.503277 17.141952 21.846114
2026-02-15 3.467718 5.062224 7.170396 10.125434 14.117779 19.275650 26.385613
2026-02-22 2.858892 4.530572 6.896173 10.424611 15.475951 22.354723 32.315653
2026-03-01 2.428481 4.138128 6.705663 10.746136 16.822653 25.471458 38.518430
2026-03-08 1.952363 3.571101 6.146027 10.410875 17.129819 27.095284 42.707010
2026-03-15 1.604107 3.135930 5.706533 10.169219 17.502831 28.790372 47.078254
2026-03-22 1.458017 3.016424 5.752501 10.692730 19.099279 32.436873 54.645507
2026-03-29 1.308561 2.860688 5.707327 11.044033 20.430652 35.754473 61.931177
2026-04-05 1.137355 2.629911 5.490660 11.059285 21.180379 38.173980 67.937932
2026-04-12 0.977746 2.391093 5.220923 10.936351 21.661013 40.163114 73.356017
2026-04-19 0.823028 2.131583 4.870461 10.611482 21.732727 41.441649 77.645072
2026-04-26 0.686491 1.894420 4.548712 10.341326 21.953661 43.132126 83.023092
2026-05-03 0.556990 1.645842 4.166034 9.905337 21.830879 44.238521 87.551176
2026-05-10 0.457150 1.445233 3.851396 9.561644 21.841812 45.579200 92.598204
2026-05-17 0.412057 1.377710 3.829490 9.846503 23.150374 49.457394 102.591924
2026-05-24 0.373688 1.319277 3.818645 10.152254 24.529497 53.574420 113.321711
2026-05-31 0.310523 1.170562 3.555686 9.833569 24.531660 54.976403 118.947741
2026-06-07 0.261469 1.050840 3.344138 9.603886 24.696455 56.704959 125.317501
2026-06-14 0.246536 1.039122 3.422002 10.101507 26.553293 62.044099 139.220160
2026-06-21 0.227046 1.006410 3.435374 10.435514 28.062575 66.763412 152.170034
2026-06-28 0.199859 0.937819 3.332451 10.450017 28.816594 69.929124 162.136605
2026-07-05 0.172738 0.860626 3.188728 10.333127 29.238247 72.401764 170.815374